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The European Journal of Public Health 2001 11(2):198-200; doi:10.1093/eurpub/11.2.198
© 2001 by European Journal of Public Health
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SUBSTANCE ABUSE

A capture recapture study of the prevalence and implications of opiate use in Dublin

C. M. COMISKEY1 and J. M. BARRY2

1Mathematics Department, National University of Ireland, Maynooth, co. kildare, Ireland
2Department of Community Health and General Practice, Trinity College, Dublin 2 and Department of Public Health, Eastern Health Board, Dublin8, Ireland

Correspondence: Dr. C.M. Comisky, Mathematics Department, National University of Ireland, Maynooth, Co. Kildare, Ireland, tel +353 1 7083994, fax +353 1 7083913

Background: To date there have been no studies estimating the hidden prevalence of opiate use in Dublin. Methods: A muftisource enumeration followed by the application of the capture-recapture method with log-linear modelling including age and gender stratification to remove heterogeneity was implemented to provide an estimate of the unknown size of the opiate-using population. Two medical and one legal data sources were used. Results: It was found that the ratio of known to unknown opiate users was 1:1.15 with a total of 13,460 (95% Cl: 12,037–15,306) users estimated in Dublin In 1996. Conclusion: The findings of this study have important ramifications for service delivery.

Keywords: capture-recapture, opiates, prevalence


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